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Private Markets

Look Forward

18 April 2023
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Markets are entering a moment of fundamental transition. Private markets have moved off the sidelines and into the spotlight for multiple industries and sectors. While public markets remain essential to the global economy, many companies today have grown to dominant market positions without ever engaging with public financing.

Private markets are opaque by design. The record growth in global private equity dry powder — approaching $2 trillion by the end of 2022 — has created a need for more data, tools and insights. Whether we are talking about private debt or private equity, venture capital or energy infrastructure, the scale of private market financing has reached a point where knowledge of these markets is essential. In this second issue of Look Forward, our economists, analysts, researchers and data experts survey the current state of affairs in private markets and forecast new developments.

As with our past Look Forward reports, this private markets report is a product of our cross-divisional Research Council at S&P Global. The Council has identified four interconnected themes that are shaping private markets during this period of rising interest rates – a Market Overview, Private Lending Risk, Private Equity & Venture Capital, and Energy & Natural Resources.

We continue to build on this work and will provide essential intelligence on private markets in the months and years to come. This is underpinned by our capabilities including data and analysis across private companies and private credit, and our workflow solutions for valuations and portfolio monitoring. We will build on our partnership with Novata to examine the intersection of private markets and sustainability. And we will continue to bring trusted insights to the industry – through conferences such as Interact London and Interact New York, and through thought leadership like our Look Forward reports. In moments of upheaval and transition, the following articles are designed to build understanding about growing private debt and private equity markets.




Adam Kansler

President,
S&P Global Market Intelligence

Markets are entering a moment of fundamental transition. Private markets have moved off the sidelines and into the spotlight for multiple industries and sectors. While public markets remain essential to the global economy, many companies today have grown to dominant market positions without ever engaging with public financing.

Private markets are opaque by design. The record growth in global private equity dry powder — approaching $2 trillion by the end of 2022 — has created a need for more data, tools and insights. Whether we are talking about private debt or private equity, venture capital or energy infrastructure, the scale of private market financing has reached a point where knowledge of these markets is essential. In this second issue of Look Forward, our economists, analysts, researchers and data experts survey the current state of affairs in private markets and forecast new developments.

As with our past Look Forward reports, this private markets report is a product of our cross-divisional Research Council at S&P Global. The Council has identified four interconnected themes that are shaping private markets during this period of rising interest rates – a Market Overview, Private Lending Risk, Private Equity & Venture Capital, and Energy & Natural Resources.

We continue to build on this work and will provide essential intelligence on private markets in the months and years to come. This is underpinned by our capabilities including data and analysis across private companies and private credit, and our workflow solutions for valuations and portfolio monitoring. We will build on our partnership with Novata to examine the intersection of private markets and sustainability. And we will continue to bring trusted insights to the industry – through conferences such as Interact London and Interact New York, and through thought leadership like our Look Forward reports. In moments of upheaval and transition, the following articles are designed to build understanding about growing private debt and private equity markets.


Adam Kansler

President,
S&P Global Market Intelligence












  • Private Markets: Still Waters Run Deep

    As credit headwinds intensify, private markets will need to show their resiliency under pressure.






    Read the Report



  • Rising to the Challenge: Slowing Investment Cycles Test Private Equity Strategies

    Changing market dynamics are influencing investment strategies and shifting funding patterns.






    Read the Report



  • Private Lending: Time to Adjust the Sails

    Inflation, higher interest rates and slowing growth represent the first real test of the resiliency and mettle of today’s private lending market.






    Read the Report



  • The Energy Transition – Born in the Dark

    Private markets are taking a leading role in investment in infrastructure related to the energy transition.







    Read the Report



 

Contributors


Executive Sponsors

Martina Cheung
President,
S&P Global Ratings
Adam Kansler
President,
S&P Global Market Intelligence



Co-lead, Look Forward on Private Markets

Nathan Hunt
Head of Content & Digital Marketing,
S&P Global
Ruth Yang
Managing Director,
Global Head of Thought Leadership,
S&P Global Ratings



Authors

Brendan Browne
Senior Director,
Financial Services,
S&P Global Ratings
Sebnem Caglayan, CFA
Senior Director,
Analytical Manager,
Nonbank Financial Institutions,
Financial Services,
S&P Global Ratings
Peter Gardett
Executive Director,
Research & Analysis,
S&P Global Commodity Insights
Evan Gunter
Lead Research Analyst,
Credit Research & Insights,
S&P Global Ratings
Ramki Muthukrishnan
Analytical Manager,
US Leveraged Finance,
S&P Global Ratings
Evangelos Savaides
Associate,
Leveraged Finance,
S&P Global Ratings
Bryan Schutt
Associate,
Head of Central Insights,
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Leon Sinclair
Global Head,
Private Equity & Debt Services,
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Dylan Thomas
Private Equity Reporter,
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Claire Wilson
Editorial Manager,
S&P Global Market Intelligence



Co-chair, S&P Global Research Council

Atul Arya
Chief Energy Strategist,
S&P Global Commodity Insights
Alexandra Dimitrijevic
Global Head of
Research & Development,
S&P Global Ratings


Contributors


Executive Sponsors

Martina Cheung
President,
S&P Global Ratings
Adam Kansler
President,
S&P Global Market Intelligence



Co-lead, Look Forward on Private Markets

Nathan Hunt
Head of Content & Digital Marketing,
S&P Global
Ruth Yang
Managing Director,
Global Head of Thought Leadership,
S&P Global Ratings



Authors

Brendan Browne
Senior Director,
Financial Services,
S&P Global Ratings
Sebnem Caglayan, CFA
Senior Director,
Analytical Manager,
Nonbank Financial Institutions,
Financial Services,
S&P Global Ratings
Peter Gardett
Executive Director,
Research & Analysis,
S&P Global Commodity Insights
Evan Gunter
Lead Research Analyst,
Credit Research & Insights,
S&P Global Ratings
Ramki Muthukrishnan
Analytical Manager,
US Leveraged Finance,
S&P Global Ratings
Evangelos Savaides
Associate,
Leveraged Finance,
S&P Global Ratings
Bryan Schutt
Associate,
Head of Central Insights,
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Leon Sinclair
Global Head,
Private Equity & Debt Services,
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Dylan Thomas
Private Equity Reporter,
S&P Global Market Intelligence
Claire Wilson
Editorial Manager,
S&P Global Market Intelligence



Co-chair, S&P Global Research Council

Atul Arya
Chief Energy Strategist,
S&P Global Commodity Insights
Alexandra Dimitrijevic
Global Head of Research & Development,
S&P Global Ratings